What’s My Note Worth?
A question all note sellers have and have a right to know.
Timing Your Mortgage Note Sale is everything.
So, when is the correct time to sell your mortgage note?
Real Estate Note Buyers and Seller Carry Consultants
Timing Your Mortgage Note Sale is everything.
So, when is the correct time to sell your mortgage note?
The following utube video with my friends Walter Wofford and Jim Ingersoll is so to the point as to the value of trusts in any form of a real estate transaction.
They discuss the ultra importance of transactional privacy and how that helps with asset protection.Under what circumstances would you want the general public to know the properties you own?
Trusts provide privacy and effectively separate all of your investment assets. They are not hard to use and provide tremendous privacy in your deals as a trustee is used to hold title and the trust agreement is not recorded at the courthouse.
Under what circumstances would you not like the public to know that you own a property?
What are the benefits of using trusts?
Today I cam across this article title,” The Three Ds of Doom: Debt, Default, Depression”. Without sounding negative, it certainly makes one think about the current economy. Everything appears to be booming, at least here in the greater Phoenix Metroplex. But………..what is under the covers. What goes up always comes down. It is a fact of life. Now apply this to the niche business. It is the paper side of real estate.
In the very near future, Capstone will be launching a Utube note training series on buying Notes. One of the topics as part of the due diligence series will be a deep dive into Investment to Value and Loan to Value. In other words, what is the note buyers safety net in the event of a downturn. How to minimize the pain in your portfolio. The only way I know is to have an EQUITY SPREAD. For instance, if a note has a $100,000 unpaid loan balance (aka UPB), what is your risk tolerance. What safety net do you require? The Capstone safety net is an Investment to Value (ITV) not exceeding 65% and a Loan to Value not exceeding 70%. Some say this is too big a filter. I guess time will tell. Anyway–moving on to the article.
July 17, 2019
“Borrowing our way out of debt” generates the three Ds of Doom: debt leads to default which ushers in Depression.
The August 7th Note Investors Forum Meetup focus on:
TOPICS: Several New Case Studies
Where Does a New Note Investor Begin
Bring your questions, This will be an interactive meeting.
S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for March (“March” is a 3 month average of January, February and March prices).
This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index.
Note: Case-Shiller reports Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA), I use the SA data for the graphs.
From S&P: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Shows Annual Home Price Gains Continue to Weaken
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 3.7% annual gain in March, down from 3.9% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 2.3%, down from 2.5% in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a 2.7% year-over-year gain, down from 3.0% in the previous month.
Las Vegas, Phoenix and Tampa reported the highest year-over-year gains among the 20 cities. In March, Las Vegas led the way with an 8.2% year-over-year price increase, followed by Phoenix with a 6.1% increase, and Tampa with a 5.3% increase. Four of the 20 cities reported greater price increases in the year ending March 2019 versus the year ending February 2019.
(NOTE: The Phoenix Market did a complete u-turn NORTH. 45% of all inventory was sold in April. What was a down turn, is now back on track. The Phoenix area is growing by 86,000 people every year. Maricopa County is the fasted growing county in country. CLICK HERE FOR THE LOCAL REIA STATS
CASE STUDY 3
This post is a 3rd in a series of 4 regarding how a perfectly good performing note goes south due to life event situation.
This particular note was in the small town of Marshall, IN. The note -Contract for Deed- was originated in 2009. The payors significant other passed in 2010. My IRA purchased the note in 2015. The note was scheduled to mature in June, 2019. I was unaware of the loss of the male payor. The payment history evolved into a rolling 120 days, meaning after 4 months the payor paid the balance or part of the balance to stay out of the forfeiture procedure. However this payment history caught up with the payor in that there was a $5,000 unpaid balance balloon that went beyond the due date of the note.
Fast forward to February, 2019, I was tired of constantly contacting the payor. I did not want to go thru the forfeiture process as to take back the house –due to condition, was not a viable option. Plus 9 months and $3,000 in attorney fees were not viable. In prior conversations, it was discovered she was the caregiver of her mother and was not working. He current husband was not working. After multiple conversations, she realized she needed help. Her Dad was brought into the conversation. He agreed to help her out. They agreed to bring the payments current. In exchange to removing the deceased payors name from the CFD, they agreed to a loan modification which extended the term 12 months, and stay current. If they ran late past 15 days, the newly executed Quit Claim deed would be recorded and my IRA would own the house.
It was a win-win. The payor benefited by having the deceased partner removed from any claim of ownership, the loan was brought current, I avoided the possibility of a 9 month forefeiture procedure and the payor will own her house free and clear in 12 months with the extension of the balloon due date.
Even though the remaining balance was small, the solution was perfect for all.
I have learned, if one works with the payor and developes a dialog, future unfortunate events can be worked out much easier. But, it is all about how can the payor feels and appreciates that they are being helped so they will be open to a solution which also benefits the note holder in the event needed.
This case study was presented at the May 1 Note Investors Forum Meetup
Some of the markets in this select group of the most spending housing bubbles in America have turned the corner, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, released this morning for October, confirming other more immediate data. This includes the Seattle metro, the five-county San Francisco Bay Area, the San Diego metro, the Denver metro, and the Portland metro. In these metros, house prices have skidded the fastest, and in some cases for the first time, since the Housing Bust. In other markets, house prices have been flat for months. And in a few markets on this list, prices rose. More on those markets in a moment.
On a national basis, these dynamics get washed out. Single-family house prices in the US, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, ticked up a smidgen on a month-to-month basis in October, and rose 5.5% compared to a year ago (not seasonally-adjusted). This year-over-year growth rate has been slowing from the 6%-plus range that reigned from September last year to July this year. The index is now 11.6% above the July 2006 peak of “Housing Bubble 1” (the first housing bubble in this millennium), which came to be called “bubble” and “unsustainable” only after it had begun to implode during “Housing Bust 1”:
The index is a measure of inflation — not of consumer price inflation but of house-price inflation, where the same house requires more dollars over the years to be purchased. In other words, the index shows to what extent the dollar is losing purchasing power with regards to buying the same house over time.
The Case-Shiller Home Price Index is a rolling three-month average; today’s release is for August, September, and October data. Based on “sales pairs,” it compares the sales price of a house in the current month to the prior transaction of the same house years earlier. The index incorporates other factors and formulas to arrive at each data point.
The following article appeared in DSNEWS.
House prices are rising.
There is a shortage of housing.
There is a shortage of rentals.
There is a shortage of well priced notes & REO’s.
“Prices are growing more quickly in some places than in others, and in MSAs where recovery has been most robust (and even in surrounding metros), price growth is probably not the best metric to use for rental investors seeking a new property to buy and hold.
So………….which MSAs have the best rate of return on rental investments?
The following article was from CNBC.
Having lived and felt the pain of the subprime crisis, the return to subprime is a recipe for disaster. No different than the movie The Big Short or the book Fools Gold!!
They were blamed for the biggest financial disaster in a century. Subprime mortgages – home loans to borrowers with sketchy credit who put little to no skin in the game. Following the epic housing crash, they disappeared, due to strong, new regulation, and zero demand from investors who were badly burned. Barely a decade later, they’re coming back with a new name — nonprime — and, so far, some new standards.
California-based Carrington Mortgage Services, a midsized lender, just announced an expansion into the space, offering loans to borrowers, “with less-than-perfect credit.” Carrington will originate and service the loans, but it will also securitize them for sale to investors.
“We believe there is actually a market today in the secondary market for people who want to buy nonprime loans that have been properly underwritten,” said Rick Sharga, executive vice president of Carrington Mortgage Holdings. “We’re not going back to the bad old days of ninja lending, when people with no jobs, no income, and no assets were getting loans.”
Sharga said Carrington will manually underwrite each loan, assessing the individual risks. But it will allow its borrowers to have FICO credit scores as low as 500. The current average for agency-backed mortgages is in the mid-700s. Borrowers can take out loans of up to $1.5 million on single-family homes, townhomes and condominiums. They can also do cash-out refinances, where borrowers tap extra equity in their homes, up to $500,000. Recent credit events, like a foreclosure, bankruptcy or a history of late payments are acceptable.
All loans, however, will not be the same for all borrowers. If a borrower is higher risk, a higher down payment will be required, and the interest rate will likely be higher.
“What we’re talking about is underwriting that goes back to common sense sort of practices. If you have risk, you offset risk somewhere else,” added Sharga, while touting, “We probably are going to have the widest range of products for people with challenging credit in the marketplace.”
Carrington is not alone in the space. Angel Oak began offering and securitizing nonprime mortgages two years ago and has done six nonprime securitizations so far. It recently finalized its biggest securitization yet — $329 million, comprising 905 mortgages with an average amount of about $363,000. Just more than 80 percent of the loans are nonprime.
Investors in Angel Oak’s nonprime securitizations are, “a who’s who of Wall Street,” according to company representatives, citing hedge funds and insurance companies. Angel Oak’s securitizations now total $1.3 billion in mortgage debt.
Angel Oak, along with Caliber Home Loans, have been the main players in the space, securitizing relatively few loans. That is clearly about to change in a big way, as demand is rising.