The August 7th Note Investors Forum Meetup focus on:
TOPICS: Several New Case Studies
Where Does a New Note Investor Begin
Bring your questions, This will be an interactive meeting.
Real Estate Note Buyers and Seller Carry Consultants
The August 7th Note Investors Forum Meetup focus on:
TOPICS: Several New Case Studies
Where Does a New Note Investor Begin
Bring your questions, This will be an interactive meeting.
S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for March (“March” is a 3 month average of January, February and March prices).
This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index.
Note: Case-Shiller reports Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA), I use the SA data for the graphs.
From S&P: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Shows Annual Home Price Gains Continue to Weaken
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 3.7% annual gain in March, down from 3.9% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 2.3%, down from 2.5% in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a 2.7% year-over-year gain, down from 3.0% in the previous month.
Las Vegas, Phoenix and Tampa reported the highest year-over-year gains among the 20 cities. In March, Las Vegas led the way with an 8.2% year-over-year price increase, followed by Phoenix with a 6.1% increase, and Tampa with a 5.3% increase. Four of the 20 cities reported greater price increases in the year ending March 2019 versus the year ending February 2019.
(NOTE: The Phoenix Market did a complete u-turn NORTH. 45% of all inventory was sold in April. What was a down turn, is now back on track. The Phoenix area is growing by 86,000 people every year. Maricopa County is the fasted growing county in country. CLICK HERE FOR THE LOCAL REIA STATS
Property Locations
IL IN MI OH TN
BPO Range: $33,000 – $70,000
UPB RANGE: $17,785 – $34,860
PURCHASE PRICE RANGE: $19,000 – $26,200
PRICING RANGE: 76% to 90% of UPB
Re-Performing Loans & Seasoned Performing Loans
Click Here to Access
CASE STUDY 3
This post is a 3rd in a series of 4 regarding how a perfectly good performing note goes south due to life event situation.
This particular note was in the small town of Marshall, IN. The note -Contract for Deed- was originated in 2009. The payors significant other passed in 2010. My IRA purchased the note in 2015. The note was scheduled to mature in June, 2019. I was unaware of the loss of the male payor. The payment history evolved into a rolling 120 days, meaning after 4 months the payor paid the balance or part of the balance to stay out of the forfeiture procedure. However this payment history caught up with the payor in that there was a $5,000 unpaid balance balloon that went beyond the due date of the note.
Fast forward to February, 2019, I was tired of constantly contacting the payor. I did not want to go thru the forfeiture process as to take back the house –due to condition, was not a viable option. Plus 9 months and $3,000 in attorney fees were not viable. In prior conversations, it was discovered she was the caregiver of her mother and was not working. He current husband was not working. After multiple conversations, she realized she needed help. Her Dad was brought into the conversation. He agreed to help her out. They agreed to bring the payments current. In exchange to removing the deceased payors name from the CFD, they agreed to a loan modification which extended the term 12 months, and stay current. If they ran late past 15 days, the newly executed Quit Claim deed would be recorded and my IRA would own the house.
It was a win-win. The payor benefited by having the deceased partner removed from any claim of ownership, the loan was brought current, I avoided the possibility of a 9 month forefeiture procedure and the payor will own her house free and clear in 12 months with the extension of the balloon due date.
Even though the remaining balance was small, the solution was perfect for all.
I have learned, if one works with the payor and developes a dialog, future unfortunate events can be worked out much easier. But, it is all about how can the payor feels and appreciates that they are being helped so they will be open to a solution which also benefits the note holder in the event needed.
This case study was presented at the May 1 Note Investors Forum Meetup
Pending home sales rose in December for the third straight month, providing further evidence that 2017 was a positive year for housing, but the National Association of Realtors doesn’t expect the good times to keep rolling.
Recent data from NAR, the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development showed that 2017 was the best year for new home sales and existing home sales in a decade.
Now, new data from NAR shows that pending home sales rose in December to the highest level since March 2017, but NAR is concerned that Republican-led tax reform will dent home sales in 2018.
According to a new report from NAR, which was released Wednesday, the Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, increased 0.5% to 110.1 in December from an upwardly revised 109.6 in November.
That marks the third straight month that the index has increased.
But combine continually low housing inventory and the Republican tax plan, which President Donald Trump signed into law late last year, and you have a recipe for a slowdown, according to NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.
“Another month of modest increases in contract activity is evidence that the housing market has a small trace of momentum at the start of 2018. Jobs are plentiful, wages are finally climbing and the prospect of higher mortgage rates are perhaps encouraging more aspiring buyers to begin their search now,” Yun said.
“Sadly, these positive indicators may not lead to a stronger sales pace,” Yun added. “Buyers throughout the country continue to be hamstrung by record low supply levels that are pushing up prices – especially at the lower end of the market.”
According to NAR, there’s an “imbalance” of supply and demand, which has led to price increases of 5% or more for each of the last six years, but Yun expects that to slow this year.
Yun said that while tight inventories are still expected to put upward pressure on prices in most areas this year, he expects overall price growth to shrink, with some states even experiencing a decline, due to the negative effect the changes to the mortgage interest deduction and state and local deductions under the new tax law.
“In the short term, the larger paychecks most households will see from the tax cuts may give prospective buyers the ability to save for a larger down payment this year, and the healthy labor economy and job market will continue to boost demand,” Yun said. “However, there’s no doubt the nation’s most expensive markets with high property taxes are going to be adversely impacted by the tax law.”
Three of the states where the tax bill’s changes to property tax deductions are expected to have a significant impact are already threatening to sue the government over the tax bill.
Last week, the governors of New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut said they plan to sue the government due to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’s elimination of certain state and local tax deductions.
The tax bill installs a cap of $10,000 on state and local tax deductions, but several states (including New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut) have state and local tax burdens that far exceed $10,000.
Yun said that he anticipates the changes to the SALT deduction rules to disproportionally impact certain segments of the housing market.
“Just how severe is still uncertain, but with homeownership now less incentivized in the tax code, sellers in the upper end of the market may have to adjust their price expectations if they want to trade down or move to less expensive areas,” Yun said. “This could in turn lead to both a decrease in sales and home values.”