The following article appeared in the Economy & Markets Newsletter by Harry Dent. The key ahha phrase, “In the next crash, rentals will tend to hold up. Housing prices will fall. Use your equity and cash flow from owned rentals to buy the far cheaper foreclosures (often by just taking over the payments at a discount) then rent them out for even more profits……”
Other Key points, “Rent the House You Live in… Buy One Far Away to Rent Out…”
There was another interesting article in MarketWatch. “Pick your poison: Here are the best neighborhoods for real estate investing if you want income or if you want growth”… CLICK HERE for the article.
I am passing this information along, not a a pessimist but, rather a realist in that history does repeat itself. The Feds have been kicking the can down the road for a long time.
How does this relate to notes? Capstone Capital USA is a value buyer of real estate assets verses a spectulative buyer. As such we only buy assets with a 35%-40% equity cushion — with a strong Payment history and seasoning on performing notes. With proper and detailed due diligence, notes are & will be a safe haven. Safety and security is everything. The following article from the Economic Collapse clearly articulates what is in front of our economy…………………
America’s long-term “balance sheet numbers” just continue to get progressively worse. Unfortunately, since the stock market has been soaring and the GDP numbers look okay, most Americans assume that the U.S. economy is doing just fine. But the stock market was soaring and the GDP numbers looked okay just prior to the great financial crisis of 2008 as well, and we saw how that turned out. The truth is that GDP is not the best measure for the health of the economy. Judging the U.S. economy by GDP is basically like measuring the financial health of an individual by how much money he or she spends, and I will attempt to illustrate that in this article. To read more CLICK HERE.
will be Wednesday, August 1st 11:30am-1:30pm
La Famiglia Restaurant, SE corner of Dobson & Guadalupe, Mesa
Note Due Diligence 201
one offs or a pool of assets.
Expect standing room only. The room is maxed out @ 50 attendees.
Buffet lunch served.
House prices are rising.
There is a shortage of housing.
There is a shortage of rentals.
There is a shortage of well priced notes & REO’s.
“Prices are growing more quickly in some places than in others, and in MSAs where recovery has been most robust (and even in surrounding metros), price growth is probably not the best metric to use for rental investors seeking a new property to buy and hold.
So………….which MSAs have the best rate of return on rental investments?
The following article was from CNBC.
- The subprime mortgage industry vanished after the Great Recession but is now being reinvented as the nonprime market.
- Carrington Mortgage is now offering mortgages to borrowers with “less-than-perfect credit.”
- Demand from both borrowers and investors is exceeding expectations.
They were blamed for the biggest financial disaster in a century. Subprime mortgages – home loans to borrowers with sketchy credit who put little to no skin in the game. Following the epic housing crash, they disappeared, due to strong, new regulation, and zero demand from investors who were badly burned. Barely a decade later, they’re coming back with a new name — nonprime — and, so far, some new standards.
California-based Carrington Mortgage Services, a midsized lender, just announced an expansion into the space, offering loans to borrowers, “with less-than-perfect credit.” Carrington will originate and service the loans, but it will also securitize them for sale to investors.
“We believe there is actually a market today in the secondary market for people who want to buy nonprime loans that have been properly underwritten,” said Rick Sharga, executive vice president of Carrington Mortgage Holdings. “We’re not going back to the bad old days of ninja lending, when people with no jobs, no income, and no assets were getting loans.”
All loans will not be the same
Sharga said Carrington will manually underwrite each loan, assessing the individual risks. But it will allow its borrowers to have FICO credit scores as low as 500. The current average for agency-backed mortgages is in the mid-700s. Borrowers can take out loans of up to $1.5 million on single-family homes, townhomes and condominiums. They can also do cash-out refinances, where borrowers tap extra equity in their homes, up to $500,000. Recent credit events, like a foreclosure, bankruptcy or a history of late payments are acceptable.
All loans, however, will not be the same for all borrowers. If a borrower is higher risk, a higher down payment will be required, and the interest rate will likely be higher.
“What we’re talking about is underwriting that goes back to common sense sort of practices. If you have risk, you offset risk somewhere else,” added Sharga, while touting, “We probably are going to have the widest range of products for people with challenging credit in the marketplace.”
Carrington is not alone in the space. Angel Oak began offering and securitizing nonprime mortgages two years ago and has done six nonprime securitizations so far. It recently finalized its biggest securitization yet — $329 million, comprising 905 mortgages with an average amount of about $363,000. Just more than 80 percent of the loans are nonprime.
A ‘who’s who of Wall Street’
Investors in Angel Oak’s nonprime securitizations are, “a who’s who of Wall Street,” according to company representatives, citing hedge funds and insurance companies. Angel Oak’s securitizations now total $1.3 billion in mortgage debt.
Angel Oak, along with Caliber Home Loans, have been the main players in the space, securitizing relatively few loans. That is clearly about to change in a big way, as demand is rising.
As a real estate note professional, the buyer of performing and non-performing notes & REO, the following article confirms/addresses what has been shared from many venues.
The nation has a staggering shortage of 7.2 million affordable and available rental homes for extremely low-income (ELI) renter households, reports MFE sister brand Affordable Housing Finance. Deputy editor Donna Kimura examines a new study from the National Low Income Housing Coalition (NLIHC), The Gap: A Shortage of Affordable Homes, which finds that for every 100 of the lowest-income renters, or those earning 30% of their area median income, there are just 35 homes affordable and available to them.
“This leaves over 8 million of the lowest-income people [spending] more than half of their limited income on rent each month, leaving very little for healthy food, for savings, or to cover an unexpected financial emergency,” says Diane Yentel, NLIHC president and CEO. “The report highlights the urgent need for an increased national investment in more homes affordable to the lowest-income people.”
Yental also noted that federal housing programs serve about 5 million low-income households, but the needs of many more families go unmet. Only one out of every four eligible families receives the help they need. As a result of the housing shortage, low-income unassisted households are often severely cost burdened and pay more than half of their limited income on rent.
The severe shortage of rental homes affordable and available to the lowest-income households predates the Great Recession but has worsened in recent years, according to the study. In 2007, 40 affordable and available rental homes existed for every 100 ELI renter households and 67 existed for every 100 renter households with incomes at or below 50% of the area median income (AMI). A small surplus of affordable and available rental homes existed at 80% and 100% of the AMI in 2007. Since then, the supply of affordable and available rental homes (relative to demand) has declined even at these higher-income levels. Renter households at 100% of the AMI, however, still enjoy a surplus nationally and in most markets.
We discussed how my successful real estate career kept me so busy it crowded out spending time with my family. As a successful Phoenix REO agent between 2008 and 2014, the REO business dominated my life even more as demonstrated in 2010 when I closed 296 houses. By 2012, I realized the industry was changing. The inventory of houses was declining, which meant my potential to make money was declining.
Changing from being a prolific REO agent to note investing gradually changed my life for the better. I can now enjoy my Grandson and not be worried about being constantly accountable to the asset managers.
I went from being a business owner to a portfolio owner. Plus, I can do deals from anywhere. I’m loving every minute of time I get to spend hiking in the mountains around Phoenix –many times with my daughter and grandson.
<iframe width=”560″ height=”315″ src=”https://www.youtube.com/embed/zErH-53vIC8″ frameborder=”0″ allow=”accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture” allowfullscreen></iframe>
This interview focuses on a Partial Note sale completed in September, 2017. My IRA bought the note, then recouped almost all it’s original investment by selling the first 125 payments as a partial to a passive investor, but kept the next 154 payments. This property is near Detroit and my passive investor lives in Hawaii. I completed this deal from my Phoenix office
Best of all, The ROTH IRA’s profit is 100% tax-free!
the Note Investor of the Year Award.
The Conference was held at the Irvine, CA Marriott.
Dave Franecki has been in the Note investor space since 2013 and works in the Performing | Non-Performing| and REO space. Prior to delving into this niche asset class, Dave was an high producing REO agent in the Phoenix Metroplex selling over 900 houses during the real estate recession.
His real estate career began in 1978 in Cincinnati, OH.
The next Note Investors Forum
is scheduled for
Tuesday April 3rd 11:30 am – 1:30 pm.
MEETING TOPIC: We’ll walk thru the process of taking a non-performing note to an REO and give examples of how the workout is completed. Basically from purchase to the multiple options to maximize significant returns. We’ll show the passive approach and the more aggressive velocity approach for much higher ROI.
If you have an interest in significantly higher returns than Performing notes, you will want to attend Tuesday April 3rd 11:30am – 1:30pm!!
Look Forward to Seeing You!!!
RESERVE YOUR SPOT @ EVENTBRITE TICKETS
General Admission / Early Bird Discount price of $16.83
available until Noon April 2nd
*Buffet Lunch, Tax & Tip
Just want to show up? No Problem!!
Walkins Always Welcome–$20 @ the door, credit card or cash
includes meal, tax, tip
Networking and Note Training
Email Dave with special dietary needs or special menu needs